Girona FC vs Villarreal CF Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 6 Apr, 20:00
Girona FC
10 Full time
Villarreal CF
Girona FC 1–0 Villarreal CF

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 30%
Away 45%

💡 Villarreal CF are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1588 Villarreal rated higher
Form Index DLDWL v WLWDW Girona 1.0 · Villarreal 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Villarreal

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Villarreal CF is the stronger side on Power Rating (1588 vs 1476).
  • Villarreal CF is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Villarreal
Form Index
Villarreal
Goal expectation
Villarreal
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Villarreal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLDWL1.0 ppg
VillarrealWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1476
Villarreal1588
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 26% · 50%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning14% · 43% · 43%

AI match preview

Girona FC host Villarreal CF in a Primera Division clash where the model gives the away side a 45% chance to win, though a draw at 30% remains a strong possibility. Expected goals suggest a moderately open game with Villarreal slightly favored to score more, but the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1. With over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 59%, this match could offer some attacking excitement; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.76

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Girona FC 1–0 Villarreal CF
Aug 2025 Villarreal CF 5–0 Girona FC