RCD Mallorca vs Real Madrid CF Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 4 Apr, 15:15
RCD Mallorca
21 Full time
Real Madrid CF
RCD Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid CF

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 16%
Draw 31%
Away 53%

💡 Real Madrid CF are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1437 v 1661 Real Madrid rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v LLWWW Mallorca 0.8 · Real Madrid 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Real Madrid

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Why we predict this

  • Real Madrid CF is the stronger side on Power Rating (1661 vs 1437).
  • Real Madrid CF is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Madrid
Form Index
Real Madrid
Goal expectation
Real Madrid
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Real Madrid. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaLLDWL0.8 ppg
Real MadridLLWWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1437
Real Madrid1661
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 24% · 58%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 62%
Machine-learning5% · 58% · 37%

AI match preview

RCD Mallorca hosts Real Madrid CF in a Primera Division clash where the model gives the away side a 53% chance of victory, though a draw at 31% remains a significant possibility. Expected goals suggest Real Madrid may edge the scoring with 2.01 expected goals against Mallorca's 1.06, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 2.01

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 RCD Mallorca 2–1 Real Madrid CF
Aug 2025 Real Madrid CF 2–1 RCD Mallorca