Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Elche CF Prediction

Primera Division · Fri 3 Apr, 20:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–0 Elche CF

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 22%
Away 27%

💡 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1474 v 1437 Rayo Vallecano rated higher
Form Index DWDDL v LDLLW Rayo Vallecano 1.2 · Elche 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rayo Vallecano v Elche

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1474 vs 1437).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano
Form Index
Rayo Vallecano
Goal expectation
Rayo Vallecano
Home advantage
Rayo Vallecano

Green = favours Rayo Vallecano · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rayo VallecanoDWDDL1.2 ppg
ElcheLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano1474
Elche1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 28% · 17%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning45% · 21% · 34%

AI match preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid holds a slight edge with a 51% chance of victory against Elche CF, who stand at 27%, while a draw is projected at 22%. The expected goals favor the home side at 1.58 compared to Elche's 0.77, making a 1-0 outcome the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, this match could be a tight contest—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.77

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–0 Elche CF
Dec 2025 Elche CF 4–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid