Elche CF vs Valencia CF Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 11 Apr, 15:15
Elche CF
10 Full time
Valencia CF
Elche CF 1–0 Valencia CF

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 31%
Away 23%

💡 Elche CF are favourites — about 45 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1429 v 1476 Valencia rated higher
Form Index DLLWL v WWLWL Elche 0.8 · Valencia 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Valencia CF is the stronger side on Power Rating (1476 vs 1429).
  • Valencia CF is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Valencia
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheDLLWL0.8 ppg
ValenciaWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1429
Valencia1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 26% · 17%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning40% · 43% · 17%

AI match preview

Elche CF holds a 45% chance of securing a home win against Valencia CF, who are pegged at 23%, while a draw stands at 31%, reflecting a closely contested encounter. The expected goals suggest Elche may edge the scoring with 1.79 expected goals to Valencia's 0.87, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 50% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match promises competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Elche CF 1–0 Valencia CF
Jan 2026 Valencia CF 1–1 Elche CF