RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 12 Apr, 15:15
RCD Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 RCD Mallorca are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1482 Rayo Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1482).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano
Form Index
Rayo Vallecano
Goal expectation
Mallorca
Home advantage
Mallorca

Green = favours Mallorca · Blue = favours Rayo Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MallorcaLDWLW1.4 ppg
Rayo VallecanoWDDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Mallorca1453
Rayo Vallecano1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 29% · 21%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning52% · 26% · 22%

AI match preview

RCD Mallorca holds a slight edge with a 48% chance of victory over Rayo Vallecano, as projected by the model, while draws and away wins share a 26% probability each. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with Mallorca scoring 1.56 on average against Rayo's 0.95, yet the most likely scoreline remains a balanced 1-1 draw. With a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 RCD Mallorca 3–0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2–1 RCD Mallorca