Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 11 Apr, 13:00
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–3 Deportivo Alavés

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 15%
Away 21%

💡 Real Sociedad de Fútbol are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1524 v 1440 Real Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Real Sociedad de Fútbol is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1440).
  • Real Sociedad de Fútbol is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Sociedad
Form Index
Real Sociedad
Goal expectation
Real Sociedad
Home advantage
Real Sociedad

Green = favours Real Sociedad · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real SociedadWLWLW1.8 ppg
AlavésLLDWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Real Sociedad1524
Alavés1440
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 24% · 20%
Power Rating61% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning75% · 9% · 16%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad de Fútbol enters this Primera Division clash with Deportivo Alavés as the statistical favorite, holding a 64% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.97 compared to Alavés' 1.10. Despite this, the model intriguingly suggests a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline, reflecting a competitive encounter with a 59% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring. These projections offer insight into potential outcomes, but remember they are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.97 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–3 Deportivo Alavés
Dec 2025 Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol