Sevilla FC vs Club Atlético de Madrid Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 11 Apr, 20:00
Sevilla FC 2–1 Club Atlético de Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (36%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 36%
Away 40%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (36%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1580 Atleti rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v WWWLL Sevilla FC 0.4 · Atleti 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla FC v Atleti

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Why we predict this

  • Club Atlético de Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1416).
  • Club Atlético de Madrid is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atleti
Form Index
Atleti
Goal expectation
Atleti
Home advantage
Sevilla FC

Green = favours Sevilla FC · Blue = favours Atleti. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sevilla FCDDLLL0.4 ppg
AtletiWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla FC1416
Atleti1580
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 31% · 43%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning14% · 61% · 25%

AI match preview

Sevilla FC and Club Atlético de Madrid are projected to produce a closely contested Primera Division clash, with the model favoring a draw at 36% probability and a predicted 1-1 scoreline. Atlético carries a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, while the expected goals suggest a moderately balanced attacking output from both sides. With just under half of simulations indicating both teams will score, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Sevilla FC 2–1 Club Atlético de Madrid
Nov 2025 Club Atlético de Madrid 3–0 Sevilla FC