Deportivo Alavés vs RCD Mallorca Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 25 Apr, 13:00
Deportivo Alavés 2–1 RCD Mallorca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 30%
Away 27%

💡 Deportivo Alavés have a slight edge — leaning Deportivo Alavés, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1441 v 1468 Mallorca rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alavés v Mallorca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1441 vs 1468).
  • RCD Mallorca is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mallorca
Form Index
Mallorca
Goal expectation
Alavés
Home advantage
Alavés

Green = favours Alavés · Blue = favours Mallorca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavésDWDDL1.2 ppg
MallorcaWLWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Alavés1441
Mallorca1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 28% · 22%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning39% · 38% · 23%

AI match preview

Deportivo Alavés holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory over RCD Mallorca, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 30%. The model forecasts a competitive match with an expected goals tally favoring Alavés at 1.57 to 0.97, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With just under half the simulations predicting over 2.5 goals and slightly more than half expecting both teams to score, this encounter promises to be closely contested—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.97

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Deportivo Alavés 2–1 RCD Mallorca
Sept 2025 RCD Mallorca 1–0 Deportivo Alavés