Athletic Club vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Primera Division · Tue 21 Apr, 18:00
Athletic Club
10 Full time
CA Osasuna
Athletic Club 1–0 CA Osasuna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 32%
Away 29%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1495 Osasuna rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Athletic v Osasuna

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Why we predict this

  • CA Osasuna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1495 vs 1449).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Osasuna
Form Index
Osasuna
Goal expectation
Athletic
Home advantage
Athletic

Green = favours Athletic · Blue = favours Osasuna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AthleticLLWLL0.6 ppg
OsasunaDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Athletic1449
Osasuna1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 35% · 24%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 36% · 28%

AI match preview

Athletic Club hosts CA Osasuna in a tightly poised Primera Division clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side but also highlighting a strong probability of a draw at 32%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with the most likely result being a 0-0 stalemate and a modest 39% chance both teams find the net. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a cautious encounter; as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 0.80

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

San Mames Bilbao, Spain Capacity 53,289 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Athletic Club 1–0 CA Osasuna
Jan 2026 CA Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club