Elche CF vs Club Atlético de Madrid Prediction

Primera Division · Wed 22 Apr, 18:00
Elche CF 3–2 Club Atlético de Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 33%
Away 36%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (33%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1439 v 1566 Atleti rated higher
Form Index LLWLW v WWLLL Elche 1.2 · Atleti 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Elche v Atleti

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Club Atlético de Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1439).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atleti
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Atleti. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLLWLW1.2 ppg
AtletiWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1439
Atleti1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 32% · 27%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 46%
Machine-learning21% · 47% · 32%

AI match preview

Elche CF hosts Club Atlético de Madrid in a tightly contested Primera Division clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 36%, though a draw holds a close 33% probability. Expected goals suggest a balanced encounter, with 1.25 for Elche and 0.98 for Atlético, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With only a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Elche CF 3–2 Club Atlético de Madrid
Aug 2025 Club Atlético de Madrid 1–1 Elche CF