Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Club Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 2 May, 17:30
Deportivo Alavés 2–4 Athletic Club

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 28%

💡 Deportivo Alavés are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1453 Athletic rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alavés v Athletic

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1451 vs 1453).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Alavés
Goal expectation
Alavés
Home advantage
Alavés

Green = favours Alavés · Blue = favours Athletic. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavésWDDLW1.6 ppg
AthleticWLLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Alavés1451
Athletic1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 29% · 24%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning48% · 25% · 27%

AI match preview

Deportivo Alavés hold a slight edge with a 47% chance to win against Athletic Club, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 25%. The model predicts a closely contested match with an expected scoreline around 1-1 and a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring (51%). With an over 2.5 goals probability just under 50%, fans can anticipate a balanced game where either side could come out on top—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Deportivo Alavés 2–4 Athletic Club
Sept 2025 Athletic Club 0–1 Deportivo Alavés