RC Celta de Vigo vs Elche CF Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 3 May, 13:00
RC Celta de Vigo
31 Full time
Elche CF
RC Celta de Vigo 3–1 Elche CF

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 24%
Away 25%

💡 RC Celta de Vigo are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1492 v 1464 Celta rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Celta v Elche

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1492 vs 1464).
  • Elche CF is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Celta
Form Index
Elche
Goal expectation
Celta
Home advantage
Celta

Green = favours Celta · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CeltaLWLLL0.6 ppg
ElcheWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Celta1492
Elche1464
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 26% · 26%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning52% · 29% · 19%

AI match preview

RC Celta de Vigo hosts Elche CF in a Primera Division clash where the home side holds a slight 50% chance of victory, while a draw and away win are projected at 24% and 25%, respectively. The expected goals tally suggests a competitive match with 1.80 goals for Celta and 1.30 for Elche, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Abanca-Balaidos Vigo, Spain Capacity 24,791 · grass
Light showers · 14.6°C
Feels like 14.2°C Wind 9 km/h Rain chance 18%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 RC Celta de Vigo 3–1 Elche CF
Sept 2025 Elche CF 2–1 RC Celta de Vigo