Sevilla FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 4 May, 20:00
Sevilla FC 1–0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 34%
Away 37%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1507 Real Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sevilla FC v Real Sociedad

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Why we predict this

  • Real Sociedad de Fútbol is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1410).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Sociedad
Form Index
Real Sociedad
Goal expectation
Real Sociedad
Home advantage
Sevilla FC

Green = favours Sevilla FC · Blue = favours Real Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sevilla FCLLWLL0.6 ppg
Real SociedadLWDLD1 ppg
Power Rating
Sevilla FC1410
Real Sociedad1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 28% · 38%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning20% · 50% · 30%

AI match preview

Sevilla FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol are projected to produce a closely contested Primera Division clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37%, while a draw holds a 34% probability and is the suggested pick. Both teams are expected to score, with a 61% chance of BTTS and an anticipated tight scoreline of 1-1, reflecting balanced attacking output. There is also a moderate 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, but as always, these statistical projections are probabilities and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan Seville, Spain Capacity 43,883 · grass
Mainly clear · 20°C
Feels like 18.5°C Wind 14 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sevilla FC 1–0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Oct 2025 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2–1 Sevilla FC