Elche CF vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 9 May, 13:00
Elche CF
11 Full time
Deportivo Alavés
Elche CF 1–1 Deportivo Alavés

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 21%
Away 25%

💡 Elche CF are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1431 Elche rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1452 vs 1431).
  • Elche CF is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Elche
Form Index
Elche
Goal expectation
Elche
Home advantage
Elche

Green = favours Elche · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ElcheLWWWL1.8 ppg
AlavésDDLWL1 ppg
Power Rating
Elche1452
Alavés1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 26% · 18%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning56% · 20% · 25%

AI match preview

Elche CF holds a 54% chance of securing a home victory against Deportivo Alavés, with the model assigning a 62/100 confidence level to this outcome. The expected goals favor Elche at 1.81 compared to Alavés' 0.96, yet the most probable final score is a 1-1 draw. There is a slight edge towards both teams scoring (53%) and over 2.5 goals (52%), indicating a potentially open contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.81 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Elche CF 1–1 Deportivo Alavés
Oct 2025 Deportivo Alavés 3–1 Elche CF