Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Girona FC Prediction

Primera Division · Mon 11 May, 20:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Girona FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 24%
Away 28%

💡 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1460 Rayo Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rayo Vallecano v Girona

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1460).
  • Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano
Form Index
Rayo Vallecano
Goal expectation
Rayo Vallecano
Home advantage
Rayo Vallecano

Green = favours Rayo Vallecano · Blue = favours Girona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rayo VallecanoWLWDW2 ppg
GironaWDLLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano1493
Girona1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 33% · 22%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 21% · 32%

AI match preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid holds a 49% probability of securing a home win against Girona FC, with an expected goals tally of 1.26 to 0.78 favoring the hosts. The model suggests a closely contested match, most likely ending 1-0, while the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are relatively low at 34% and 41%, respectively. These projections provide a statistical outlook but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.78

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Girona FC
Aug 2025 Girona FC 1–3 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid