Deportivo Alavés vs FC Barcelona Prediction

Primera Division · Wed 13 May, 20:30
Deportivo Alavés 1–0 FC Barcelona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 35%
Away 53%

💡 FC Barcelona are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1746 Barça rated higher
Form Index 1 v 3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alavés v Barça

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Why we predict this

  • FC Barcelona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1746 vs 1434).
  • FC Barcelona is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Barça
Form Index
Barça
Goal expectation
Barça
Home advantage
Alavés

Green = favours Alavés · Blue = favours Barça. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlavésDLWLD1 ppg
BarçaWWWWW3 ppg
Power Rating
Alavés1434
Barça1746
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 21% · 62%
Power Rating17% · 12% · 71%
Machine-learning1% · 74% · 25%

AI match preview

Deportivo Alavés face a tough challenge at home against FC Barcelona in this Primera Division clash, with the model giving the visitors a 53% chance of victory compared to just 12% for the hosts. The match is expected to feature goals, with an anticipated total of 3.53 and a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring is projected at 64%. The most likely scoreline is a 2-1 win for Barcelona, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 2.35

Most likely score

1-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Deportivo Alavés 1–0 FC Barcelona
Nov 2025 FC Barcelona 3–1 Deportivo Alavés