Girona FC vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

Primera Division · Thu 14 May, 19:00
Girona FC 1–1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 28%
Away 38%

💡 Real Sociedad de Fútbol have a slight edge — leaning Real Sociedad de Fútbol, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1463 v 1494 Real Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1463 vs 1494).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Sociedad
Form Index
Real Sociedad
Goal expectation
Real Sociedad
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Real Sociedad. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaDLLLD0.4 ppg
Real SociedadDLDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1463
Real Sociedad1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 29% · 41%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning26% · 33% · 41%

AI match preview

Girona FC host Real Sociedad in a tightly poised Primera Division clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38%, though a draw remains a strong possibility. Both teams are expected to find the net, as indicated by a 56% chance for BTTS and a projected scoreline of 1-1, supported by expected goals of 1.24 for Girona and 1.47 for Sociedad. Over 2.5 goals is marginally likely at 51%, suggesting a moderately open game where either side could edge it; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass
Light rain · 13.8°C
Feels like 13.4°C Wind 7 km/h Rain chance 95%
Wet pitch likely

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Girona FC 1–1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol
Dec 2025 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1–2 Girona FC