CA Osasuna vs Club Atlético de Madrid Prediction

Primera Division · Tue 12 May, 20:30
CA Osasuna 1–2 Club Atlético de Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 32%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1560 Atleti rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Club Atlético de Madrid is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1475).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atleti
Form Index
Atleti
Goal expectation
Osasuna
Home advantage
Osasuna

Green = favours Osasuna · Blue = favours Atleti. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OsasunaDLWLL0.8 ppg
AtletiLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Osasuna1475
Atleti1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 31%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning23% · 42% · 35%

AI match preview

CA Osasuna and Club Atlético de Madrid are set for a tightly contested Primera Division clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Atlético at 35% but a draw closely behind at 32%. Expected goals are fairly balanced, suggesting a low-scoring encounter with the most probable result being a 1-1 draw. With a 54% probability of both teams scoring and just under half the chances for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 CA Osasuna 1–2 Club Atlético de Madrid
Oct 2025 Club Atlético de Madrid 1–0 CA Osasuna