Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

Primera Division · Thu 14 May, 18:00
Valencia CF 1–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 26%
Away 28%

💡 Valencia CF are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1490 Rayo Vallecano rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Valencia v Rayo Vallecano

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1475 vs 1490).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rayo Vallecano
Form Index
Rayo Vallecano
Goal expectation
Valencia
Home advantage
Valencia

Green = favours Valencia · Blue = favours Rayo Vallecano. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ValenciaLDWLW1.4 ppg
Rayo VallecanoLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Valencia1475
Rayo Vallecano1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning48% · 26% · 26%

AI match preview

Valencia CF holds a slight edge at 46% to claim victory against Rayo Vallecano, who have a 28% chance of pulling off an away win, while a draw sits at 26%. The expected goals suggest a modest attacking output with 1.40 for Valencia and 0.93 for Rayo, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and both teams to score projected at 47%, this match could well hinge on tight defensive work; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Mestalla Valencia, Spain Capacity 49,430 · grass
Clear · 21.5°C
Feels like 20.4°C Wind 19 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Valencia CF 1–1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Dec 2025 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1–1 Valencia CF