Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Valencia CF Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 17 May, 18:00
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–4 Valencia CF

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 22%
Away 22%

💡 Real Sociedad de Fútbol are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1495 v 1473 Real Sociedad rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Real Sociedad v Valencia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1495 vs 1473).
  • Valencia CF is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Real Sociedad
Form Index
Valencia
Goal expectation
Real Sociedad
Home advantage
Real Sociedad

Green = favours Real Sociedad · Blue = favours Valencia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real SociedadLDLDD0.6 ppg
ValenciaDWLWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Real Sociedad1495
Valencia1473
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 21%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning64% · 22% · 14%

AI match preview

Real Sociedad de Fútbol holds a 56% chance of securing victory against Valencia CF in this Primera Division clash, with the model suggesting a moderately higher confidence level of 65/100 for a home win. Expected goals favor the hosts at 1.89 compared to 1.13 for the visitors, yet the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 draw, highlighting a competitive encounter. There's a 58% likelihood of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance both teams will score; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.89 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3–4 Valencia CF
Aug 2025 Valencia CF 1–1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol