Real Oviedo vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Primera Division · Sun 17 May, 18:00
Real Oviedo
01 Full time
Deportivo Alavés
Real Oviedo 0–1 Deportivo Alavés

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (35%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 35%
Away 35%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (35%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1398 v 1452 Alavés rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Deportivo Alavés is the stronger side on Power Rating (1452 vs 1398).
  • Deportivo Alavés is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alavés
Form Index
Alavés
Goal expectation
Alavés
Home advantage
Real Oviedo

Green = favours Real Oviedo · Blue = favours Alavés. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Real OviedoDLLDL0.4 ppg
AlavésLWLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Real Oviedo1398
Alavés1452
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 39% · 36%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning24% · 42% · 33%

AI match preview

Real Oviedo and Deportivo Alavés are projected to face a closely contested Primera Division match, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 35% probability. Expected goals are low on both sides, 0.71 for Oviedo and 0.88 for Alavés, suggesting a tight defensive battle likely to produce few scoring chances, with 0-0 as the most probable scoreline. Both teams have a low chance of over 2.5 goals (21%) and only a 31% chance of both teams scoring, pointing to a cautious game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.71 – 0.88

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Real Oviedo 0–1 Deportivo Alavés
Jan 2026 Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Real Oviedo