Girona FC vs Elche CF Prediction

Primera Division · Sat 23 May, 20:00
Girona FC
11 Full time
Elche CF
Girona FC 1–1 Elche CF

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 26%
Away 31%

💡 Girona FC have a slight edge — leaning Girona FC, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 20 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1454 Girona rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Girona v Elche

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1456 vs 1454).
  • Elche CF is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Elche
Goal expectation
Girona
Home advantage
Girona

Green = favours Girona · Blue = favours Elche. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GironaLLDDL0.4 ppg
ElcheWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Girona1456
Elche1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 31%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 28% · 31%

AI match preview

Girona FC host Elche CF in a closely matched Primera Division clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 43% versus 31% for an away win. The expected goals are tight, 1.49 for Girona and 1.27 for Elche, suggesting a competitive game likely to yield around two goals, with a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. There's a moderate chance for both teams to score (57%) and for the match to go over 2.5 goals (52%), but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Estadi Montilivi Girona, Spain Capacity 14,624 · grass
Clear · 22.7°C
Feels like 24.5°C Wind 4 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Girona FC 1–1 Elche CF
Dec 2025 Elche CF 3–0 Girona FC