CD Tondela vs Sporting Clube de Braga Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 18 Jan, 18:00
CD Tondela 0–1 Sporting Clube de Braga

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 25%
Away 58%

💡 Sporting Clube de Braga are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1555 Braga rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sporting Clube de Braga is the stronger side on Power Rating (1555 vs 1410).
  • Sporting Clube de Braga is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Braga
Form Index
Braga
Goal expectation
Braga
Home advantage
Tondela

Green = favours Tondela · Blue = favours Braga. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TondelaLLLWL0.6 ppg
BragaWWLDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Tondela1410
Braga1555
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 24% · 63%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 49%
Machine-learning5% · 32% · 63%

AI match preview

CD Tondela hosts Sporting Clube de Braga in a Primeira Liga clash where the visitors hold a clear statistical edge, with a 58% chance of victory compared to just 17% for the home side. The model predicts a 0-2 scoreline, reflecting Braga's expected dominance in attack with nearly double the expected goals (1.96) versus Tondela's 0.83. While there's a moderate 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and an even chance for both teams to score, these projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered carefully—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.96

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 CD Tondela 0–1 Sporting Clube de Braga
Aug 2025 Sporting Clube de Braga 3–0 CD Tondela