Rio Ave FC vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 17 Jan, 20:30
Rio Ave FC 0–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (59%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 26%
Away 59%

💡 Sport Lisboa e Benfica are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1628 SL Benfica rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rio Ave v SL Benfica

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Why we predict this

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1628 vs 1480).
  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
SL Benfica
Form Index
SL Benfica
Goal expectation
SL Benfica
Home advantage
Rio Ave

Green = favours Rio Ave · Blue = favours SL Benfica. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rio AveWLDLW1.4 ppg
SL BenficaDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Rio Ave1480
SL Benfica1628
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 19% · 73%
Power Rating31% · 20% · 50%
Machine-learning5% · 39% · 55%

AI match preview

Rio Ave FC face a tough challenge at home against Sport Lisboa e Benfica, with the model favoring an away win at 59% probability. Expect Benfica to hold the edge offensively, projected to score around 2.3 goals compared to Rio Ave's 0.67, making a 0-2 scoreline the most likely outcome. While the chance of over 2.5 goals sits at 57%, both teams scoring is less probable at 45%; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.67 – 2.30

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Rio Ave FC 0–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sept 2025 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1–1 Rio Ave FC