AVS vs FC Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 17 Jan, 18:00
AVS
01 Full time
FC Arouca
AVS 0–1 FC Arouca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 FC Arouca have a slight edge — leaning FC Arouca, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1347 v 1404 Arouca rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AVS v Arouca

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Why we predict this

  • FC Arouca is the stronger side on Power Rating (1404 vs 1347).
  • FC Arouca is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arouca
Form Index
Arouca
Goal expectation
AVS
Home advantage
AVS

Green = favours AVS · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AVSLLDLL0.2 ppg
AroucaLWDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
AVS1347
Arouca1404
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 26% · 35%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning19% · 32% · 48%

AI match preview

AVS and FC Arouca face off in a closely matched Primeira Liga encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to the visitors at 40% compared to 32% for the home side. Both teams are projected to score roughly 1.5 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite a moderate lean towards an away win. The match also has a 61% chance to see over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will find the net; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.53

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 AVS 0–1 FC Arouca
Aug 2025 FC Arouca 3–1 AVS