CF Estrela da Amadora vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 19 Jan, 20:15
CF Estrela da Amadora 0–5 GD Estoril Praia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 28%
Away 32%

💡 CF Estrela da Amadora have a slight edge — leaning CF Estrela da Amadora, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1497 Estoril Praia rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Amadora v Estoril Praia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1485 vs 1497).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril Praia
Form Index
Amadora
Goal expectation
Amadora
Home advantage
Amadora

Green = favours Amadora · Blue = favours Estoril Praia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AmadoraWLDWD1.6 ppg
Estoril PraiaDLWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Amadora1485
Estoril Praia1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 24% · 26%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning25% · 37% · 38%

AI match preview

CF Estrela da Amadora and GD Estoril Praia are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the home side holding a slight 40% edge for victory according to model predictions. Both teams are expected to find the net, as reflected by a 66% probability of BTTS and a balanced expected goals tally of 1.96 to 1.40. With a 65% chance of the match exceeding 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an open game, though the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–5 GD Estoril Praia
Aug 2025 GD Estoril Praia 1–1 CF Estrela da Amadora