FC Alverca vs Moreirense FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 17 Jan, 18:00
FC Alverca
21 Full time
Moreirense FC
FC Alverca 2–1 Moreirense FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 31%
Away 41%

💡 Moreirense FC have a slight edge — leaning Moreirense FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1514 Moreirense rated higher
Form Index WLLLW v DLDWW Alverca 1.2 · Moreirense 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alverca v Moreirense

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Why we predict this

  • Moreirense FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1514 vs 1461).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Moreirense
Form Index
Moreirense
Goal expectation
Moreirense
Home advantage
Alverca

Green = favours Alverca · Blue = favours Moreirense. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlvercaWLLLW1.2 ppg
MoreirenseDLDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Alverca1461
Moreirense1514
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 31% · 45%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning21% · 37% · 42%

AI match preview

FC Alverca hosts Moreirense FC in a Primeira Liga clash where the away side holds a 41% chance of victory, slightly favored over a draw at 31%. The model predicts a tight encounter with an expected goals tally of 0.95 for Alverca and 1.36 for Moreirense, making a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. With both teams showing moderate chances for over 2.5 goals (41%) and both to score (47%), fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 FC Alverca 2–1 Moreirense FC
Aug 2025 Moreirense FC 2–1 FC Alverca