FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 24 Jan, 18:00
FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 17%
Away 72%

💡 Sporting Clube de Portugal are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1416 v 1657 Sporting CP rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Arouca v Sporting CP

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Why we predict this

  • Sporting Clube de Portugal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1657 vs 1416).
  • Sporting Clube de Portugal is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sporting CP
Form Index
Sporting CP
Goal expectation
Sporting CP
Home advantage
Arouca

Green = favours Arouca · Blue = favours Sporting CP. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AroucaWDDLW1.6 ppg
Sporting CPWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Arouca1416
Sporting CP1657
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model6% · 13% · 82%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 65%
Machine-learning1% · 28% · 72%

AI match preview

FC Arouca face a tough challenge at home against Sporting Clube de Portugal, with the model giving the visitors a strong 72% chance of victory. The expected goals suggest Sporting could net around three times, while Arouca may struggle to break through, pointing to a likely 0-2 scoreline. With a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans might see an open game, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.72 – 2.94

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 FC Arouca 1–2 Sporting Clube de Portugal
Aug 2025 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6–0 FC Arouca