Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 25 Jan, 18:00
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4–0 CF Estrela da Amadora

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (76%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 76%
Draw 13%
Away 11%

💡 Sport Lisboa e Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 93.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 93.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1641 v 1459 SL Benfica rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on SL Benfica v Amadora

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Why we predict this

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1641 vs 1459).
  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
SL Benfica
Form Index
SL Benfica
Goal expectation
SL Benfica
Home advantage
SL Benfica

Green = favours SL Benfica · Blue = favours Amadora. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SL BenficaWWDWW2.6 ppg
AmadoraLDWDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
SL Benfica1641
Amadora1459
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 20% · 11%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning88% · 8% · 3%

AI match preview

Sport Lisboa e Benfica are strong favorites to secure a home win against CF Estrela da Amadora, with a 76% probability and a high confidence rating of 93/100. The model predicts Benfica to score around 2.37 goals compared to Estrela da Amadora's 0.89, making a 2-0 result the most likely outcome. While there's a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance both teams will score, remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.37 – 0.89

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 4–0 CF Estrela da Amadora
Aug 2025 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica