Rio Ave FC vs FC Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 31 Jan, 18:00
Rio Ave FC
03 Full time
FC Arouca
Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 21%
Away 26%

💡 Rio Ave FC are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1410 Rio Ave rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Rio Ave v Arouca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1450 vs 1410).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rio Ave
Form Index
Arouca
Goal expectation
Rio Ave
Home advantage
Rio Ave

Green = favours Rio Ave · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Rio AveDLWLL0.8 ppg
AroucaDDLWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Rio Ave1450
Arouca1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 25% · 26%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning56% · 22% · 22%

AI match preview

Rio Ave FC have a slight edge with a 53% chance to claim victory against FC Arouca, as projected by the model, though a draw remains a plausible 21% outcome. The expected goals suggest a competitive game with Rio Ave at 1.85 and Arouca at 1.32, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 60%, fans can anticipate an open and engaging match—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca
Aug 2025 FC Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave FC