Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 2 Feb, 20:45
Casa Pia AC
21 Full time
FC Porto
Casa Pia AC 2–1 FC Porto

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 8%
Draw 20%
Away 72%

💡 FC Porto are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1694 Porto rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 3.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Casa Pia v Porto

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • FC Porto is the stronger side on Power Rating (1694 vs 1412).
  • FC Porto is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
Porto
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
Casa Pia

Green = favours Casa Pia · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Casa PiaWDLLD1.0 ppg
PortoWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Casa Pia1412
Porto1694
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model3% · 12% · 85%
Power Rating20% · 12% · 68%
Machine-learning1% · 35% · 64%

AI match preview

Casa Pia AC face a tough challenge at home against FC Porto, with the model giving the visitors a strong 72% chance of victory and an expected scoreline favoring a 0-2 win for Porto. The predicted goals suggest a clear advantage for the away side, with a 61% probability of the match producing over 2.5 goals, though both teams scoring is less likely at 32%. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering any bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.41 – 2.73

Most likely score

0-2

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Casa Pia AC 2–1 FC Porto
Aug 2025 FC Porto 4–0 Casa Pia AC