FC Alverca vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 31 Jan, 20:30
FC Alverca 1–1 CF Estrela da Amadora

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 FC Alverca have a slight edge — leaning FC Alverca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1451 Alverca rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alverca v Amadora

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1459 vs 1451).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alverca
Form Index
Alverca
Goal expectation
Alverca
Home advantage
Alverca

Green = favours Alverca · Blue = favours Amadora. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlvercaLLWWL1.2 ppg
AmadoraDWDLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Alverca1459
Amadora1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning35% · 33% · 32%

AI match preview

FC Alverca and CF Estrela da Amadora are poised for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 41% probability, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both sides are expected to score, with a 55% chance of both teams finding the net and a near-even split on whether the match will exceed 2.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the tight nature of this encounter; please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 FC Alverca 1–1 CF Estrela da Amadora
Aug 2025 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 FC Alverca