Vitória SC vs Moreirense FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 30 Jan, 20:45
Vitória SC
10 Full time
Moreirense FC
Vitória SC 1–0 Moreirense FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 26%
Away 39%

💡 Moreirense FC have a slight edge — leaning Moreirense FC, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1474 v 1511 Moreirense rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1474 vs 1511).
  • Moreirense FC is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Moreirense
Form Index
Moreirense
Goal expectation
Vitória SC
Home advantage
Vitória SC

Green = favours Vitória SC · Blue = favours Moreirense. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Vitória SCLDWLL0.8 ppg
MoreirenseDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Vitória SC1474
Moreirense1511
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 29% · 33%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning24% · 26% · 50%

AI match preview

Vitória SC and Moreirense FC are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 39% probability. Both teams are expected to find the net, reflected in a 57% chance of BTTS and a most likely scoreline of 1-1 given the similar expected goals (1.42 vs 1.32). With just over half the probability leaning towards over 2.5 goals, this match promises competitive action, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Vitória SC 1–0 Moreirense FC
Aug 2025 Moreirense FC 2–0 Vitória SC