CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Feb, 15:30
CD Nacional
00 Full time
Casa Pia AC
CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 21%
Away 25%

💡 CD Nacional are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1469 v 1429 CD Nacional rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on CD Nacional v Casa Pia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1469 vs 1429).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
CD Nacional
Form Index
Casa Pia
Goal expectation
CD Nacional
Home advantage
CD Nacional

Green = favours CD Nacional · Blue = favours Casa Pia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CD NacionalLDLWL0.8 ppg
Casa PiaDLLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
CD Nacional1469
Casa Pia1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 23% · 25%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning55% · 23% · 22%

AI match preview

CD Nacional holds a 54% chance of securing victory against Casa Pia AC in this Primeira Liga clash, with the model suggesting a closely contested match given the 21% draw probability. Expected goals favor the home side at 2.15 compared to 1.46 for the visitors, yet the most likely score remains a tight 1-1 draw. With a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, though these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 CD Nacional 0–0 Casa Pia AC
Aug 2025 Casa Pia AC 0–2 CD Nacional