Moreirense FC vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 7 Feb, 15:30
Moreirense FC
12 Full time
Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense FC 1–2 Gil Vicente FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (35%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 35%
Away 37%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (35%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1560 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Moreirense v Gil Vicente

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1501).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Moreirense
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Moreirense

Green = favours Moreirense · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MoreirenseWWLWL1.8 ppg
Gil VicenteDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Moreirense1501
Gil Vicente1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 32% · 37%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning15% · 48% · 37%

AI match preview

Moreirense FC and Gil Vicente FC are set to clash in a tightly contested Primeira Liga fixture, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 37%, though a draw holds the highest individual probability at 35%. Both teams are expected to produce a low-scoring affair, with anticipated goals just over one each and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. Given the nearly even chance of both teams scoring and less than 40% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, this matchup promises to be a close battle—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Moreirense FC 1–2 Gil Vicente FC
Aug 2025 Gil Vicente FC 2–0 Moreirense FC