FC Arouca vs Vitória SC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 7 Feb, 20:30
FC Arouca
32 Full time
Vitória SC
FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 34%
Away 36%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1484 Vitória SC rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Arouca v Vitória SC

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Why we predict this

  • Vitória SC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1484 vs 1435).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitória SC
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Arouca

Green = favours Arouca · Blue = favours Vitória SC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AroucaDLWLW1.4 ppg
Vitória SCDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Arouca1435
Vitória SC1484
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 31% · 36%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning17% · 47% · 36%

AI match preview

FC Arouca and Vitória SC are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 36%, closely followed by a draw at 34%. Both teams are projected to score around 1.2 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely outcome. With a 50% chance of both teams scoring and only a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on tight margins; remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitória SC
Aug 2025 Vitória SC 1–1 FC Arouca