CD Nacional vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 15 Feb, 15:30
CD Nacional
01 Full time
FC Porto
CD Nacional 0–1 FC Porto

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 26%
Away 61%

💡 FC Porto are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1466 v 1674 Porto rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on CD Nacional v Porto

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Why we predict this

  • FC Porto is the stronger side on Power Rating (1674 vs 1466).
  • FC Porto is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
Porto
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
CD Nacional

Green = favours CD Nacional · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CD NacionalDLWLD1.0 ppg
PortoWWWLD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
CD Nacional1466
Porto1674
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 18% · 74%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 60%
Machine-learning3% · 47% · 50%

AI match preview

In this Primeira Liga clash, FC Porto are favored with a 61% chance to secure an away victory against CD Nacional, who hold just a 13% probability of winning. The model projects a 0-2 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with expected goals at 0.65 for Nacional and 2.33 for Porto, suggesting a match that could see Porto dominate offensively. While there's a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals, both teams scoring is less probable at 44%. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.65 – 2.33

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Porto
Sept 2025 FC Porto 1–0 CD Nacional