CF Estrela da Amadora vs CD Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 20 Feb, 20:45
CF Estrela da Amadora 0–2 CD Tondela

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 CF Estrela da Amadora are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1402 Amadora rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Amadora v Tondela

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Why we predict this

  • CF Estrela da Amadora is the stronger side on Power Rating (1453 vs 1402).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Amadora
Form Index
Amadora
Goal expectation
Amadora
Home advantage
Amadora

Green = favours Amadora · Blue = favours Tondela. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AmadoraLLDWL0.8 ppg
TondelaLLDDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Amadora1453
Tondela1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning51% · 28% · 22%

AI match preview

CF Estrela da Amadora holds a slight edge with a 53% chance of victory over CD Tondela in this Primeira Liga clash, though a draw remains a plausible 24% outcome. The model projects a closely contested match with an expected goals tally favoring the home side 1.66 to 0.99, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With both teams showing a 53% probability for goals at both ends and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.99

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–2 CD Tondela
Sept 2025 CD Tondela 0–0 CF Estrela da Amadora