FC Alverca vs CD Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 21 Feb, 15:30
FC Alverca
11 Full time
CD Santa Clara
FC Alverca 1–1 CD Santa Clara

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 30%
Away 27%

💡 FC Alverca have a slight edge — leaning FC Alverca, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1414 Alverca rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 0.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Alverca v Santa Clara

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1414).
  • FC Alverca is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Alverca
Form Index
Santa Clara
Goal expectation
Alverca
Home advantage
Alverca

Green = favours Alverca · Blue = favours Santa Clara. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AlvercaWLDLD1.0 ppg
Santa ClaraLLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Alverca1453
Santa Clara1414
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 36% · 29%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning37% · 39% · 24%

AI match preview

FC Alverca marginally lead the statistical projections with a 42% chance of victory against CD Santa Clara, though the model also suggests a 30% probability of a draw. Expected goals are closely matched at 0.98 for the home side and 0.87 for the visitors, with a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline. Low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (28%) and both teams to score (38%) indicate a potentially tight, low-scoring encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 0.87

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 FC Alverca 1–1 CD Santa Clara
Sept 2025 CD Santa Clara 2–1 FC Alverca