✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a home win.
What our model predicted
💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.
Back or counter the AI on Arouca v CD Nacional
Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.
Why we predict this
- Closely matched on Power Rating (1436 vs 1459).
- FC Arouca is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
- Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
- Model components are split — lower conviction.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Arouca · Blue = favours CD Nacional. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
FC Arouca and CD Nacional are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 36% but also highlighting a 34% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome and a 55% chance both teams will score. Over 2.5 goals is just above even odds at 51%, indicating a balanced offensive encounter. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.61
Most likely score
1-1
13% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 51%
Under 49%
Both teams to score
Yes 55%
No 45%
Value bet vs odds
Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.
Go PremiumUnlock advanced player analysis
You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.