Vitória SC vs FC Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 28 Feb, 20:30
Vitória SC
11 Full time
FC Alverca
Vitória SC 1–1 FC Alverca

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 Vitória SC are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1450 Vitória SC rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vitória SC v Alverca

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1476 vs 1450).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitória SC
Form Index
Vitória SC
Goal expectation
Vitória SC
Home advantage
Vitória SC

Green = favours Vitória SC · Blue = favours Alverca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Vitória SCLWLWL1.2 ppg
AlvercaLDLDD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Vitória SC1476
Alverca1450
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 26% · 23%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning40% · 35% · 25%

AI match preview

Vitória SC hosts FC Alverca in a Primeira Liga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 48% chance of victory, though a draw or away win both stand at 26%. The model projects an expected goal tally of 1.79 for Vitória SC and 1.13 for Alverca, with a 1-1 scoreline being the most probable outcome. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities just above 55%, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.13

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Vitória SC 1–1 FC Alverca
Sept 2025 FC Alverca 2–0 Vitória SC