FC Famalicão vs FC Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 6 Mar, 20:15
FC Famalicão
10 Full time
FC Arouca
FC Famalicão 1–0 FC Arouca

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 15%
Away 20%

💡 FC Famalicão are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1520 v 1448 Famalicão rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Famalicão v Arouca

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • FC Famalicão is the stronger side on Power Rating (1520 vs 1448).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Famalicão
Form Index
Arouca
Goal expectation
Famalicão
Home advantage
Famalicão

Green = favours Famalicão · Blue = favours Arouca. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FamalicãoLWLWD1.4 ppg
AroucaWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Famalicão1520
Arouca1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 18% · 10%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning64% · 14% · 22%

AI match preview

FC Famalicão enter this Primeira Liga clash with a strong 65% projected chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.51 compared to FC Arouca’s 0.86. The model favors a 2-0 home win, with a 65% likelihood of the match exceeding 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams will score. These statistical projections provide insight but remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.51 – 0.86

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 FC Famalicão 1–0 FC Arouca
Oct 2025 FC Arouca 1–1 FC Famalicão