CF Estrela da Amadora vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Mar, 15:30
CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Gil Vicente FC

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 31%
Away 48%

💡 Gil Vicente FC are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1554 Gil Vicente rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Amadora v Gil Vicente

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Why we predict this

  • Gil Vicente FC is the stronger side on Power Rating (1554 vs 1431).
  • Gil Vicente FC is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Gil Vicente
Form Index
Gil Vicente
Goal expectation
Gil Vicente
Home advantage
Amadora

Green = favours Amadora · Blue = favours Gil Vicente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AmadoraDWLLD1.0 ppg
Gil VicenteWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Amadora1431
Gil Vicente1554
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 29% · 49%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning8% · 42% · 50%

AI match preview

CF Estrela da Amadora host Gil Vicente FC in a Primeira Liga clash where the visitors hold a 48% chance of victory, with a 31% probability of a draw and just 21% for the home side. The expected goals suggest a close contest, around 0.96 for Estrela da Amadora and 1.54 for Gil Vicente, pointing to a likely 1-1 scoreline despite the away win being the most probable outcome. With a 50% chance both teams score and a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an open game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.54

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 CF Estrela da Amadora 2–2 Gil Vicente FC
Oct 2025 Gil Vicente FC 2–0 CF Estrela da Amadora