Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Porto Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun 8 Mar, 18:00
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2–2 FC Porto

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 34%
Away 33%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1668 v 1689 Porto rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on SL Benfica v Porto

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1668 vs 1689).
  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Porto
Form Index
SL Benfica
Goal expectation
Porto
Home advantage
SL Benfica

Green = favours SL Benfica · Blue = favours Porto. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SL BenficaDWWWW2.6 ppg
PortoLDWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
SL Benfica1668
Porto1689
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 34% · 41%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning29% · 47% · 25%

AI match preview

Benfica and FC Porto are set for a closely contested Primeira Liga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 34% probability and a low confidence level of 35/100. Expected goals suggest a tight, low-scoring game, most likely ending 0-0, supported by a modest 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and just a 40% probability for both teams to score. These projections highlight the balanced nature of the encounter, but remember to consider them as statistical insights and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.82 – 1.13

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2–2 FC Porto
Oct 2025 FC Porto 0–0 Sport Lisboa e Benfica