Vitória SC vs FC Famalicão Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 14 Mar, 15:30
Vitória SC
12 Full time
FC Famalicão
Vitória SC 1–2 FC Famalicão

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 32%
Away 38%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1457 v 1527 Famalicão rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Vitória SC v Famalicão

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Why we predict this

  • FC Famalicão is the stronger side on Power Rating (1527 vs 1457).
  • FC Famalicão is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Famalicão
Form Index
Famalicão
Goal expectation
Vitória SC
Home advantage
Vitória SC

Green = favours Vitória SC · Blue = favours Famalicão. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Vitória SCLWLDL0.8 ppg
FamalicãoWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Vitória SC1457
Famalicão1527
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 36% · 25%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning16% · 33% · 51%

AI match preview

Vitória SC host FC Famalicão in a tightly poised Primeira Liga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, but the most probable outcome remains a draw at 32%, supported by a modest confidence level of 40/100. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with Vitória marginally ahead at 1.03 expected goals to Famalicão’s 0.78, and a 0-0 scoreline is the most likely result. With only 27% probability for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, this match could be a cautious, defensive battle; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 0.78

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Vitória SC 1–2 FC Famalicão
Oct 2025 FC Famalicão 2–0 Vitória SC