CF Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 20 Mar, 20:15
CF Estrela da Amadora 4–0 Casa Pia AC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 CF Estrela da Amadora have a slight edge — leaning CF Estrela da Amadora, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1436 Casa Pia rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Amadora v Casa Pia

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1423 vs 1436).
  • Casa Pia AC is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Casa Pia
Form Index
Casa Pia
Goal expectation
Amadora
Home advantage
Amadora

Green = favours Amadora · Blue = favours Casa Pia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AmadoraLLDDL0.4 ppg
Casa PiaDWLDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Amadora1423
Casa Pia1436
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 30% · 27%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning38% · 28% · 34%

AI match preview

CF Estrela da Amadora holds a slight edge at 42% to claim victory against Casa Pia AC, with a 27% chance of a draw and a 31% likelihood of an away win, reflecting a tightly contested Primeira Liga clash. The model anticipates a close match with expected goals of 1.42 for the home side and 1.08 for the visitors, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability of both teams scoring, fans can expect an engaging encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.08

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 CF Estrela da Amadora 4–0 Casa Pia AC
Nov 2025 Casa Pia AC 3–5 CF Estrela da Amadora