FC Famalicão vs CD Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 21 Mar, 15:30
FC Famalicão
10 Full time
CD Nacional
FC Famalicão 1–0 CD Nacional

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 22%
Away 17%

💡 FC Famalicão are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1538 v 1427 Famalicão rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Famalicão v CD Nacional

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Why we predict this

  • FC Famalicão is the stronger side on Power Rating (1538 vs 1427).
  • FC Famalicão is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Famalicão
Form Index
Famalicão
Goal expectation
Famalicão
Home advantage
Famalicão

Green = favours Famalicão · Blue = favours CD Nacional. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FamalicãoLWDWW2.0 ppg
CD NacionalLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Famalicão1538
CD Nacional1427
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 29% · 14%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning62% · 25% · 13%

AI match preview

FC Famalicão enters this Primeira Liga clash with a 61% probability of securing a home win against CD Nacional, backed by a confidence rating of 72/100. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with an expected goals tally of 1.48 for the hosts and 0.64 for the visitors, making a 1-0 result the most probable outcome. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain under 40%, these statistical projections offer insight but are never certain—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.64

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 FC Famalicão 1–0 CD Nacional
Nov 2025 CD Nacional 0–1 FC Famalicão