Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat 21 Mar, 18:00
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–0 Vitória SC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (81%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 81%
Draw 12%
Away 8%

💡 Sport Lisboa e Benfica are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1673 v 1446 SL Benfica rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on SL Benfica v Vitória SC

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is the stronger side on Power Rating (1673 vs 1446).
  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
SL Benfica
Form Index
SL Benfica
Goal expectation
SL Benfica
Home advantage
SL Benfica

Green = favours SL Benfica · Blue = favours Vitória SC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SL BenficaWWWDW2.6 ppg
Vitória SCWLDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
SL Benfica1673
Vitória SC1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model76% · 17% · 7%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning92% · 6% · 2%

AI match preview

Benfica enter this Primeira Liga clash as strong favorites with an 81% probability of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence level of 95/100. The model projects a 2-0 victory with expected goals of 2.45 for Benfica and 0.64 for Vitória SC, suggesting a solid defensive performance from the hosts. With a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals but only 44% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a match leaning towards a clean sheet; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.45 – 0.64

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–0 Vitória SC
Nov 2025 Vitória SC 0–3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica