FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon 6 Apr, 18:45
FC Arouca
32 Full time
GD Estoril Praia
FC Arouca 3–2 GD Estoril Praia

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 29%
Away 44%

💡 GD Estoril Praia have a slight edge — leaning GD Estoril Praia, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1514 Estoril Praia rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Arouca v Estoril Praia

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Why we predict this

  • GD Estoril Praia is the stronger side on Power Rating (1514 vs 1449).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Estoril Praia
Form Index
Estoril Praia
Goal expectation
Estoril Praia
Home advantage
Arouca

Green = favours Arouca · Blue = favours Estoril Praia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AroucaWLLLW1.2 ppg
Estoril PraiaWLDWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Arouca1449
Estoril Praia1514
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 22% · 50%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning14% · 39% · 48%

AI match preview

FC Arouca hosts GD Estoril Praia in a Primeira Liga clash where the model favors an away win with a 44% probability, though a draw is also possible at 29%. Expect an open game with goals likely, as the projected scoreline stands at 1-2 and there's a strong 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 75% probability that both teams will score. These projections highlight probabilities based on statistics—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.72 – 2.29

Most likely score

1-2

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 75%

No 25%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 FC Arouca 3–2 GD Estoril Praia
Nov 2025 GD Estoril Praia 4–3 FC Arouca