Vitória SC vs CD Tondela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri 3 Apr, 18:00
Vitória SC
50 Full time
CD Tondela
Vitória SC 5–0 CD Tondela

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 21%
Away 27%

💡 Vitória SC are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1404 Vitória SC rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1440 vs 1404).
  • CD Tondela is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Vitória SC
Form Index
Tondela
Goal expectation
Vitória SC
Home advantage
Vitória SC

Green = favours Vitória SC · Blue = favours Tondela. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Vitória SCLDLLL0.2 ppg
TondelaDWDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Vitória SC1440
Tondela1404
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 28% · 20%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning51% · 19% · 30%

AI match preview

Vitória SC holds a 52% chance to claim victory against CD Tondela in this Primeira Liga clash, with the model suggesting a moderately higher probability for the home side. Expected goals favor Vitória SC at 1.64 to 0.95, though the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With both teams to score projected at 51% and under 2.5 goals slightly more probable, fans should anticipate a closely contested match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Vitória SC 5–0 CD Tondela
Nov 2025 CD Tondela 0–1 Vitória SC